目前人工智能的发展呈现出复杂的态势：
未来前景方面：
对于普通人如何通过人工智能挣钱，以下是一些可能的途径：
More Money,More Problems:Expect a group to spend over$1 billion training a single large-scale model next year.The GenAI craze isn’t going anywhere;it’s just getting a pricier wardrobe.Compute Squeeze:Governments and Big Tech alike will continue to feel the crunch of compute requirements,which are outgrowing the power grid’s ability to support them.It’s like a bodybuilder bulking up faster than their gym can handle—at some point,the ceiling might just collapse.AI Enters Elections:Anticipated AI effects on elections and employment haven’t materialized yet,but that doesn’t mean we’re in the clear.Remember,AI’s influence is like glitter:once it’s out,you’ll be finding it in everything for years to come.Artificial intelligence continues to be a mixed bag of thrilling breakthroughs,unanswered ethical questions,and oh-so-many trillion-dollar bets.With OpenAI leading in some areas,Meta in others,and Chinese labs rising undeterred by sanctions,the stage for AI in 2024 feels more like a tightly packed boxing ring than a peaceful conference room.So grab your popcorn and keep those GPUs handy—we’re in for another year of AI pushing boundaries,testing limits,and possibly rewriting a few definitions along the way.
简单概括：深度学习有效，随规模扩大预期改善，我们持续增加相关资源投入。就是这样；人类发现了一种算法，可以真正地学习任何数据分布（或者说，产生任何数据分布的潜在"规则"）。令人震惊的是，计算能力和数据量越大，它帮助人们解决难题的能力就越强。不管我花多长时间思考这个问题，我都无法完全理解它的重要性。我们还有很多细节需要解决，但被任何特定挑战分散注意力是一个错误。深度学习是有效的，我们将解决剩余的问题。我们可以谈论很多关于下一步可能发生的事情，但主要的是，人工智能将随着规模而变得更好，这将导致对全球人民生活产生有意义的改善。人工智能模型将很快作为自主的个人助理，代表您执行特定任务，如帮助您协调医疗护理。未来，人工智能系统将变得如此出色，它们将帮助我们构建更好的下一代系统，并在各个领域取得科学进展。技术将我们从石器时代带到农业时代，再到工业时代。从这里开始，通往智能时代的道路由计算、能源和人类意志铺就。如果我们想让尽可能多的人接触到人工智能，我们需要降低计算成本，使其更加普及（这需要大量的能源和芯片）。如果我们不能建立足够的基础设施，人工智能将成为一种非常有限的资源，会导致战争，并主要成为富人的工具。我们需要聪明而坚定地采取行动。智能时代的曙光是一个历史性的发展，同时也带来极其复杂且高风险的挑战。这并非完全是个积极的故事，但潜在的正面影响如此巨大，我们有责任找出如何应对眼前的风险。我相信未来会非常光明灿烂，以至于现在任何人都无法对之进行公正的描述；智能时代的一个决定性特征将是巨大的繁荣。尽管这将逐步发生，但令人惊叹的胜利——修复气候、建立太空殖民地以及发现物理学的所有内容——最终将成为寻常。拥有近乎无限的智慧和丰富的能源——产生伟大创意和实现它们的能力——我们可以做很多事情。
Technology brought us from the Stone Age to the Agricultural Age and then to the Industrial Age.From here,the path to the Intelligence Age is paved with compute,energy,and human will.If we want to put AI into the hands of as many people as possible,we need to drive down the cost of compute and make it abundant(which requires lots of energy and chips).If we don’t build enough infrastructure,AI will be a very limited resource that wars get fought over and that becomes mostly a tool for rich people.We need to act wisely but with conviction.The dawn of the Intelligence Age is a momentous development with very complex and extremely high-stakes challenges.It will not be an entirely positive story,but the upside is so tremendous that we owe it to ourselves,and the future,to figure out how to navigate the risks in front of us.I believe the future is going to be so bright that no one can do it justice by trying to write about it now;a defining characteristic of the Intelligence Age will be massive prosperity.Although it will happen incrementally,astounding triumphs–fixing the climate,establishing a space colony,and the discovery of all of physics–will eventually become commonplace.With nearly-limitless intelligence and abundant energy–the ability to generate great ideas,and the ability to make them happen–we can do quite a lot.